18.02.2020 Bist / Viop Analysis While deaths from coronavirus exceeded 1,800 in China, the number of cases increased to
72,436. Hubei province has announced 1,807 new cases. A study conducted in China revealed that the majority of cases were 'moderate'. Countries speed up their efforts to evacuate their citizens on cruise ships. After Australia and South Korea, Britain moved to evacuate its citizens from the
Diamond Princess cruise ship. Canada also announced that it has 32 citizens on the same ship. Meanwhile, Hong Kong announced that a $ 3.6 billion fund will be established for anti-virus measures. Casinos will reopen on Thursday in the largest casino center in the world, Macau.
The negative economic impact of coronavirus began to show itself on a global scale of companies.
Apple noted that first-quarter sales expectations are not expected to be reached by drawing attention to the problems in the supply chain due to the coronavirus outbreak. Production on the iPhone, which constitutes the majority of Apple sales, was slower than expected, as the reason that expectations could not be met.
Apple also pointed out that some stores in China have been closed due to the virus, while others have reduced working hours. Apple predicted $ 63-67 billion in revenue for the quarter ending in March. The average estimate of analysts was $ 65.2 billion. Apple analyst Loup Ventures founder Gene Munster said, “Apple is the only major company at risk in China. They have been dealing with problems where they have been successful in recent years. ”
While the Turkish delegation in Moscow was making Idlib contacts, a concrete result has not been reached yet and the talks will continue. The Turkish delegation discussed the Idlib issue with the Russian delegation yesterday. The Turkish delegation stressed the need to quickly reduce tension in the field and prevent further deterioration of the humanitarian situation. During the meeting, measures to be taken in order to fully implement the agreements reached within the scope of the Sochi agreement in Idlib and to prevent violations were discussed.
Negotiations will continue where they left off today. On the other hand,
Idlib statement came from the United Nations. The written statement warned that the ongoing crisis in Idlib, northwestern Syria, has reached a new level that is “terrifying”. Speaking of
AK Party spokesperson Ömer Çelik said in a statement yesterday, “The ceasefire violations of the regime have reached around 20 thousand, it is known that more than 1500 civilians have died. Approximately 1 million 640 thousand people have been displaced since 2019 ”.
Although the virus case increase rate has declined, the Apple alert has triggered a new wave of sales in the markets. While hard sales are seen in almost all major Asia-Pacific stock indexes, the Japanese Nikkei 225 dropped 1.4% in Hong Kong, 1.63% in Hong Kong Hang Seng and 0.91% in China CSI300. Apple suppliers such as TDK, Tokyo Electron are leading the decline. Nasdaq futures dropped by 0.6% and S&P 500 futures dropped by 0.3% for US stocks that were closed for Monday holidays.
It also shows itself on the sales bond front. 10-year US Treasury yield declined to
1.55%. In the absence of risk appetite, EM rates also perform well against the dollar. While the South Korean Won is down
0.4% against the dollar, the
Dollar / TL is moving at
6.0550 levels with an increase of 0.1% in the morning hours. Gold is recovering with safe port purchases. Brent crude contract is sold at $ 57.18, withdrawing 0.9%, worrying about the negative impact of the virus on Chinese demand.
BİST100
The XU100 index completed the first trading day of the week with an increase of 0.53% to 120.792. On the day when the transaction volume of 14.2 billion TL was realized, the banking index increased by 0.27% while the holding index
increased by 0.56%.
The index started the first trading day of the week with a positive outlook in Asian indices. The index, which continues to rise towards the 121.500 resistance level during the day, encountered sales from these levels. The decrease in blood pressure and coronavirus spread rate related to the Syrian issue was effective in the rise of the index compared to the first data. The increase of the index with the increase in the transaction volume is important for the continuation of the uptrend.
The index, which started the day with rising, continued to increase to 121.500 level during the day, but could not exceed 121.500. Despite the sales coming from the resistance level of the index, the upward trend with volume is positive for the index. In the index, 121.500 will be followed as the first resistance level. In the case of passing this level, there will be 122,800 and 123,400 other targets to follow. In the possible withdrawals, 119,500 will be the first support level.
[mstock id = "1595"]
Supports: 119,500 / 118,600 / 117,300
Resistors: 121.500 / 122.800 / 123.400
VIOP 30 INDEX FUTURES CONTRACT
February futures index 30 contracts
completed the first trading day at the level of 145,100 with an increase of 0.725%.
The index contract started the first trading day of the week with a positive view in the Asian and US futures. The contract, which rose to 145,400, did not exceed this level and encountered sales. Withdrawal may appear towards contract support levels that continue the uptrend but remain below the 21-day moving average.
News flows to be followed by both Syria and viruses during the day can be effective in the movement of the index.
February futures index 30 contracts completed the first trading day of the week with an increase of
0.725% at
145,100 level. The contract, which started the week with rising, was able to close the day with a plus, even though it faced sales during the day. In the new day, we will follow
144,500 as of the first support level in the contract. Below this level, there are
144.00 and 143.500 levels. In the continuation of the rise,
the 146.800 level is the first resistance level during the day.
Supports: 144,500 / 144,000 / 143,500
Resistors: 146,800 / 147,900 / 149,300
USDTRY FUTURES CONTRACT
February futures
USDTRY contract completed the previous
trading day with an increase of 0.01% to 6.0708.
The February futures
dollar contract started on the first trading day of the week with a decrease. The contract, which managed to hold on to its support at
6.0550 during the day, was able to close on the day plus. For the contract, which is above the 5-day moving average, it is important for the rise to remain above the moving average.
In the new day, developments in Syria will continue to be followed closely in terms of TL, and with the decrease in geopolitical risks, the eyes are turned into an interest rate decision to be announced by the Central Bank on Wednesday.
February futures contract started on the first trading day of the week with a decrease. It tested its support at 6.0550 level and managed to close the contract, which increased with the purchases from this level, even if it was a small day. If the rise continues in the new day, 6.0950 resistance is the first resistance level during the day.
[mstock id = "1597"]
Supports: 6.0550 / 6.0300 / 6.0100
Resistors: 6.0950 / 6.1060 / 6.1150
OUNCE GOLD FUTURES CONTRACT
The gold futures contract for February
was completed at 1582.80, the first trading day of the week, rising by
0.02%.
On the first trading day of the week, we saw that the portion of the coronavirus's spreading rate started with a decrease due to decreased risk appetite and decreased appetite. In the contract,
1580 support levels will be followed closely on the new day. Despite the dollar, which maintains its strong global stance, 1600 news levels can be targeted in the contract with negative news about the coronavirus.
In the ounce gold contract, where the upward trend continues, the impact of new developments caused by the
Chinese virus on spot ounce gold and therefore gold contract prices will continue to be closely monitored.
The contract, which started the first trading day of the week with a decline in favorable weather and increased risk appetite in Asian markets, managed to hold above 1580 and ended the day at 1582. The contract, which maintains its bullish potential as it stays above $ 1580, will be followed as the first resistance level of 1587 days.
Below the 1580 level, the first support level is 1575.
Supports: 1575/1570/1564
Resistors: 1587/1592/1605
[mstock id = "1605"]
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