After testing fresh tops in the 1.16 neighbourhood,
EUR/USD has embarked in a leg lower to the 1.1540, where some initial contention seems to have turned up.
EUR/USD gains capped by 1.1600
EUR/USD is now trading in the negative territory for the first time after four consecutive daily advances, although the weekly performance remains well and sound for the fifth week in a row so far.
The knee-jerk in EUR/USD comes in response to a recovery attempt in the greenback, which managed to bounce off multi-month lows when tracked by the
US Dollar Index (DXY) and recorded during early trade.
Data wise on Thursday; the usual US Initial Claims rose by nearly 1,4 million during last week, more than initially forecasted; while Continuing Claims noted that still nearly 16,2 million Americans are benefiting from unemployment insurance. Closer to home, the flash print of the Consumer Confidence for the month of July tracked by the European Commission (EC) is due later in the session.
What to look for around EUR
EUR/USD recorded fresh 2020 highs just beyond the 1.16 level, always on the back of the persistent weakness surrounding the dollar. As always, upbeat risk appetite trends continue to support the momentum around the euro in combination with the ongoing gradual economic recovery in the euro bloc. Also lending wings to the momentum around the euro, the recently clinched deal on the European Recovery Fund helped putting political fears within the region to rest (for now).
EUR/USD levels to watch
At the moment, the pair is losing 0.05% at 1.1564 and faces the next support at 1.1495 (monthly high Mar.9) seconded by 1.1448 (50% Fibo of the 2017-2018 rally) and finally 1.1422 (monthly high Jun.10). On the upside, a breakout of 1.1601 (2020 high Jul.22) would target 1.1624 (monthly high Oct.1 2018) en route to 1.1815 (monthly high Sep.24 2018).
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