Stock Markets Have Overcome The Epidemic But There Are Signs Of Danger
Stock markets around the world have significantly overcome the negative effects of the epidemic due to the supportive policies of central banks and governments, but there are signs of danger. According to the report of Market Watch, the ratio of the total value of stock exchanges to the global national income has exceeded the threshold of 100 percent for the first time after 2018.The report said, "Warren Buffett said that this measure gave signs of the 2001 crisis, and now the alarm bell is ringing in global markets."According to the "Buffet Indicator", which takes its name from Warren Buffett, one of the world's leading investors, if this rate goes above 100 percent, it means that there is a bubble in the stock markets. In the last 20 years, global markets have been hit three times after that rate exceeded 100 percent.These coups took place in 2000, 2008 and 2018.
CENTRAL BANKS SUPPORT
With the corona virus epidemic, stock markets in the world experienced a very sharp loss in value.However, the fact that central banks in the world, especially the US Federal Reserve (Fed), reduced real interest rates to negative levels and opened the money taps to the full, supported the stock markets.In the USA, the S&P 500 index has reached its record levels in February 2020.While the IMF predicts a contraction of 4.9 percent for the global economy, the rapid increase in the value of the stock markets also causes concerns.